Wednesday, May 14, 2008

WV Analysis

First of all, let me apologize for neglecting to write up my WV predictions. Nonetheless, Clinton won a landslide victory, winning by 41%. While this is an impressive margin, it isn't enough, especially in a state with such demographics as W. Virginia. Just after the NC/IN primaries, before the stream of superdelegates to Obama, the math determined that, in order to tie Obama in delegates, Clinton would need to win 70%of the remaining delegates, including the supers. West Virginia's demographics are fertile teritory for Clinton, likely the best she'll see in the rest of the race. She won 67% of the vote, which is just shy of the 70% threshold and far from being enough to combat Obama's superdelegate stream. Clinton performed very, very well in WV, but it wasn't enough, and the race continues to be over.

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